NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4f654f2484870403183381c361f13bb55d574c0dd1b9e3b59b74ee8fa30528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Bucks, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Clippers | 80c | 3,729$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.55 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Clippers | 67c | 2,791$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.05 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 28c | 2,781$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 37c | 1,915$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 66c | 1,665$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 33c | 1,465$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.52 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Clippers | 72c | 1,332$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.83 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…4430backed Clippers | 77c | 1,056$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Bucks | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Bucks | 27c | 988.78$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Clippers | 72c | 899.97$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Clippers | 77c | 728$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bucks | 28c | 491.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bucks | 31c | 443.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Clippers | 78c | 373.93$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Clippers | 71c | 348.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Clippers | 71c | 344.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bucks | 30c | 336.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Clippers | 75c | 334.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Clippers | 70c | 333.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Clippers | 69c | 329.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…e343backed Bucks | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bucks | 19c | 303.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Bucks | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bucks | 28c | 296.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…ffb0backed Bucks | 36c | 283.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bucks | 27c | 281.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Clippers | 80c | 267.84$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Clippers | 67c | 236.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Bucks | 27c | 218.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Clippers | 66c | 212.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Clippers | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Clippers | 68c | 167$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Bucks | 40c | 162.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Bucks | 21c | 145.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Bucks | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Bucks | 27c | 126.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Clippers | 74c | 108.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Bucks | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Bucks | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Bucks | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 26c | 99.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bucks | 31c | 99.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bucks | 26c | 96.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Bucks | 27c | 88.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Clippers | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Bucks | 27c | 74.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Bucks | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…0176backed Bucks | 35c | 71.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…b3f2backed Bucks | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Clippers | 72c | 62.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked Clippers | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Bucks | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Bucks | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Clippers | 79c | 56.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -15.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Clippers | 71c | 56.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Bucks | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Clippers | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Bucks | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Clippers | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Clippers | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bucks | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Clippers | 72c | 47.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Bucks | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d2febacked Clippers | 72c | 43.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Clippers | 71c | 40.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Bucks | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Bucks | 30c | 33.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Clippers | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Clippers | 71c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Clippers | 78c | 25.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…e06bbacked Clippers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed Clippers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Clippers | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Clippers | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…4e33backed Clippers | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Clippers | 72c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Clippers | 73c | 16.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Clippers | 71c | 14.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.