Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc3582a20e503442af1876db25d2857d37e96d1ea29d620dfa646b9c0fc0998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 17c | 11,628$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 17c | 10,589$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 14c | 7,150$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 4,024$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.59 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 2,720$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.22 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…33a9backed Yes | 16c | 1,205$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 15c | 1,005$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Yes | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Yes | 2c | 972.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…8c04backed Yes | 1c | 918.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 775.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 16c | 714$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 16c | 607.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes | 16c | 580$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…7f7bbacked Yes | 16c | 579.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes | 16c | 565$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 12c | 484.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 15c | 290$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 5c | 271.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 14c | 240.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…a519backed Yes | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 10c | 224.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 9c | 206.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 14c | 199.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 17c | 178.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356c…1756backed Yes | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa626…5ca1backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…a227backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Yes | 11c | 149.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 15c | 147.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 15c | 146$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 16c | 144.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…3a31backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 19c | 124.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 116.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 18c | 111.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…1b3cbacked Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Yes | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 15c | 87.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 16c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b88…b884backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…2604backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.