TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof Portland Fire, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$420,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$436,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,509 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Toronto Tempo43c75,000$32,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,899.889245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Portland Fire57c50,554$28,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,811.56735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire49c21,217$10,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,479.6599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire68c17,944$12,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,289.391,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Tempo57c13,702$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Portland Fire58c12,864$7,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,522.813360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo40c10,013$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.7427449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo62c9,671$5,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.6323746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Portland Fire67c8,325$5,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,545.7512144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Toronto Tempo59c7,100$4,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9114139%16 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6dd…ac58backed Portland Fire26c6,772$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Portland Fire32c6,555$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.287740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Portland Fire58c6,011$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.9236154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Portland Fire58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4808159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Toronto Tempo43c5,800$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.1210338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo37c5,016$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.0955255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Portland Fire51c4,053$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.4350646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Portland Fire51c4,005$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.8730649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Tempo46c3,901$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.33040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Portland Fire44c3,812$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.9210340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo42c3,746$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.8483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portland Fire48c3,560$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.7532150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Portland Fire46c3,336$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.1223955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Portland Fire58c2,994$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.893444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Toronto Tempo40c2,868$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.42958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Portland Fire43c2,682$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.1931448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Toronto Tempo22c2,650$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.6712234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…4715backed Toronto Tempo73c2,628$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.941080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Fire16c2,540$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5328647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo38c2,508$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.5737141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Portland Fire61c2,451$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.981618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-70.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Toronto Tempo34c2,434$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.012615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Portland Fire56c2,424$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.4213256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Portland Fire58c2,418$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.4438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo41c2,282$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.346247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Portland Fire58c2,074$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.1526953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Portland Fire58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1606154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Tempo42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.968348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo27c1,848$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Toronto Tempo39c1,800$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0982100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+482.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Toronto Tempo39c1,800$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0985360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd898…20e7backed Toronto Tempo28c1,648$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Portland Fire57c1,627$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.084456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Portland Fire30c1,607$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.6512846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo42c1,600$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.9919446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Portland Fire58c1,558$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Portland Fire54c1,548$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.7836454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Tempo43c1,405$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.4217656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Toronto Tempo40c1,335$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.9713048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo52c1,277$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0436750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Portland Fire57c1,206$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.4941145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Portland Fire3c1,150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Portland Fire53c1,139$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.116339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Toronto Tempo46c1,075$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.371526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Toronto Tempo78c1,027$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb63…b3debacked Toronto Tempo40c1,017$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.42128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo31c1,006$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.9950952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire59c1,005$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.591,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Portland Fire58c944.1$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Portland Fire63c937.34$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.162030%6 W · 14 L-5.4wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-45.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Portland Fire63c937.3$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.141942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Portland Fire50c880.92$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7164152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo44c873.19$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.3838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Toronto Tempo37c836.34$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.347638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Portland Fire60c829$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.921446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Toronto Tempo32c796.31$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.238062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Tempo43c791.72$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2823245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Portland Fire56c787.97$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.471770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Toronto Tempo69c705$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cf…99a6backed Toronto Tempo43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.671376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Toronto Tempo50c691.31$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.368447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc50…f8debacked Portland Fire62c628.08$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.412944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Portland Fire62c622.56$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.082466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f4d…448fbacked Toronto Tempo30c619.92$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.761330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Tempo42c600$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b87…dffdbacked Toronto Tempo53c574.58$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Portland Fire43c553$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.639938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Fire64c538$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3226147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac3…e2c1backed Toronto Tempo32c531.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Portland Fire19c517.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Tempo43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2859139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Toronto Tempo44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2809650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Toronto Tempo68c495.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo38c493.53$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3612661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Portland Fire42c441.31$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.592445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Portland Fire10c430$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.913024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Portland Fire74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Portland Fire58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2328657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Portland Fire58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bab…746ebacked Portland Fire74c396.61$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Portland Fire48c396.17$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7316633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Portland Fire57c390$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.374942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Portland Fire13c365.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.578228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Toronto Tempo64c356.88$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4412045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Tempo62c353.27$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2137650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Portland Fire44c350.53$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3210538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Portland Fire32c341.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.815048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Toronto Tempo36c335.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.791643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Portland Fire54c335.78$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.355738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Toronto Tempo44c329.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.378743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.