WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x804e37e86d1a9332d9a17daa6dfad0f4cdcb4317943212d2b1a6e0122428ccfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Portland Fire, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Portland Fire | 50c | 60,000$29,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,991.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 32,790$16,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,349.18 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20,495$10,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,232.01 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.98 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 47c | 17,941$8,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,479.18 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 13,309$6,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.35 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 6,015$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.02 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire | 49c | 4,401$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.08 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 2,407$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.66 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Toronto Tempo | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.42 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 2,093$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.5 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Tempo | 72c | 1,974$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.97 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portland Fire | 46c | 996.95$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portland Fire | 49c | 700.79$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 672.09$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Toronto Tempo | 35c | 665.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.87 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 659.49$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Portland Fire | 66c | 598.81$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Portland Fire | 46c | 564.67$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.36 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 530.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 525.18$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Toronto Tempo | 39c | 512.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Portland Fire | 47c | 420.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Portland Fire | 29c | 301$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 283$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Portland Fire | 47c | 267.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 255.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 245.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Toronto Tempo | 35c | 231.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Portland Fire | 46c | 215.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Portland Fire | 48c | 177.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Portland Fire | 49c | 163.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Portland Fire | 47c | 156.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Portland Fire | 43c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 137.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 137$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Portland Fire | 37c | 136.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Portland Fire | 44c | 120.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Portland Fire | 47c | 112.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Portland Fire | 47c | 112.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Portland Fire | 45c | 108$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 104.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo | 38c | 102.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Portland Fire | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 89.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Portland Fire | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Portland Fire | 49c | 67.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…cd46backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 64.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…0e71backed Portland Fire | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Portland Fire | 49c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Portland Fire | 43c | 59.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…f280backed Portland Fire | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Portland Fire | 52c | 56.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 44.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Portland Fire | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…541ebacked Portland Fire | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Portland Fire | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Portland Fire | 47c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Portland Fire | 38c | 33.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Fire | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)this page
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.