WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660b7eaac9dd161d973520dfb7c560d5ada650bd8f6f35a187ad2204c16f4279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 21c | 1,417$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Under | 57c | 875.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 849.77$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 490$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 61c | 450.16$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 43c | 427$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 381.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 61c | 307$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 138$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Under | 61c | 132.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 61c | 132.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 37c | 102.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 23c | 95.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 89.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 50.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 49.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…70aebacked Over | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 47c | 44.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 39c | 36.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 30.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 30.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 60c | 18.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5this page
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.