WNBA · resolved market
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29acb7f7e020e5e5716996d2da1c988090de4d2fae810e6913ff0a9f96b4ea6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 4,161$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.13 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 1,809$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.83 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 1,694$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.87 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 38c | 1,438$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.75 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,022$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 957.77$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.38 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 51c | 615.06$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 481$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 272.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 29c | 147.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Under | 49c | 126.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 10c | 111.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 56.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…8077backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 28.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…2506backed Under | 49c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 69c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5this page
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.