WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84bdeb802b02d3735313a81989b72e73d22a9a089f242eef8de4c6d8516e3cbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Portland Fire, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 51c | 13,845$7,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125.95 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 7,617$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.73 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Portland Fire | 46c | 3,569$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.31 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 3,543$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.09 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Portland Fire | 53c | 3,017$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,845$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 2,647$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.91 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 2,468$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.84 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,543$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Portland Fire | 53c | 1,387$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…4d60backed Portland Fire | 52c | 1,290$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Portland Fire | 53c | 812.8$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 749.17$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 600$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 529.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 454.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Portland Fire | 50c | 414.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Portland Fire | 55c | 402.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 265$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 43c | 220.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.42 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Portland Fire | 51c | 202.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 183.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland Fire | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 167.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 142.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Portland Fire | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 119.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Portland Fire | 51c | 112.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Portland Fire | 51c | 112.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Portland Fire | 52c | 110.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Portland Fire | 52c | 100.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Portland Fire | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 98.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Portland Fire | 52c | 84.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 83.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07e…986abacked Portland Fire | 50c | 76.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 74.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Portland Fire | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Portland Fire | 52c | 56.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Portland Fire | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Portland Fire | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 45.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Portland Fire | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed Portland Fire | 40c | 42.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 42.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…b1b0backed Portland Fire | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 38.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo | 37c | 36.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 36.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…f289backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Portland Fire | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 27.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…07ddbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Portland Fire | 51c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Portland Fire | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Portland Fire | 54c | 19.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Portland Fire | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)this page
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.