WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e55df89ebd65bc583879183088f0727bd5f015a1cdb2456497c92ad7ed2968c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof Portland Fire, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Portland Fire | 59c | 3,402$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Portland Fire | 55c | 2,927$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.1 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 2,470$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.46 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 1,732$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.46 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 41c | 1,226$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.54 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Portland Fire | 63c | 727.51$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.23 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 725.42$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.96 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 704.79$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.53 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Toronto Tempo | 36c | 584.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.59 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Portland Fire | 57c | 423.19$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.42 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Portland Fire | 40c | 269.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Toronto Tempo | 35c | 258.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 209$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 207.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Portland Fire | 52c | 196.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Portland Fire | 54c | 173$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 137.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Portland Fire | 66c | 127.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Portland Fire | 64c | 119.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Portland Fire | 51c | 114.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 111.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Portland Fire | 51c | 108.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Portland Fire | 57c | 103.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Portland Fire | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Portland Fire | 64c | 88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Portland Fire | 48c | 81.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 48c | 78.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 74.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Portland Fire | 42c | 67.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Portland Fire | 66c | 67.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 38c | 61.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 61.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Portland Fire | 48c | 58.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 40c | 56.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 56.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Portland Fire | 56c | 51.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Portland Fire | 56c | 51.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Toronto Tempo | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Toronto Tempo | 32c | 46.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 41.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Portland Fire | 56c | 37.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Toronto Tempo | 35c | 34.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Portland Fire | 38c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 31.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Portland Fire | 62c | 30.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 29.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Portland Fire | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Portland Fire | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Portland Fire | 56c | 22.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Portland Fire | 58c | 19.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Portland Fire | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)this page
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: Portland Fire (-3.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.