WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee02e6c8e5e75cb2b794341cc01a7d6ec0efe3e1b8d6386391b8c036ce91dab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 51c | 15,700$8,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,006.79 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 7,477$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.08 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 39c | 1,994$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.49 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,797$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.13 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.98 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 46c | 1,336$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.06 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,274$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.65 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 48c | 940.77$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.2 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 906.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 32c | 759.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 69c | 724.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.78 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 40c | 553.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.46 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 55c | 527.9$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 497.94$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.49 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 2c | 470.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 319.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 49c | 289.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 213.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 49c | 199.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 186.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…6864backed Over | 43c | 161.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 70c | 152.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 149$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 70c | 138.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 33c | 121.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 66c | 114.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 112.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 111$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 61c | 97.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 54c | 95.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Over | 33c | 92.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 44c | 84.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Over | 51c | 78.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 41c | 71.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 50.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 45.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 50c | 32.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 69c | 30.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…3cccbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 48c | 27.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 63c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 47c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 57c | 19.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas AcesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.