WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93d4532455197e69a5c20cf1a2e4615efa2218ed9119b02948e4b4e99b383cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 48,775$24,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,628 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 8,595$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.65 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 7,406$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.4 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 7,287$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.21 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 6,669$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.1 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 5,691$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.25 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 5,582$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.22 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 5,089$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 2,516$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.39 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…49d6backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 2,510$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 1,852$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.32 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 1,613$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.84 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 1,577$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.7 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 1,523$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.77 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 1,425$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.98 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,306$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.86 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,059$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.69 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 880.78$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.39 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 680.47$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.06 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 675.17$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.64 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 616.42$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.64 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 523$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 469.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 451.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 334.87$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 263$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…ae42backed Minnesota Lynx | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 170.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 169.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 163.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 110.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 103.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 83.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 78.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 72.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 61.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 59.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 47.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Las Vegas Aces | 33c | 46.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 45.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 42.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 41.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 39.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 37.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 36.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 35.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Minnesota Lynx | 75c | 35.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 34.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 28.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 26.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 22.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas AcesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.