WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0aed4de29f6897a5839a5753d15efb11a2aec249dd661aceb17211aa06e07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 50c | 23,675$11,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,724.56 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Under | 53c | 13,175$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223.72 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 5,152$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.55 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 2,386$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.04 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,152$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,170$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.84 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 41c | 1,079$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.6 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 53c | 961.68$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.74 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 52c | 747.94$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.27 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 51c | 730$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 49c | 658.22$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.53 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 593.86$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.42 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 50c | 542.54$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 506$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.82 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 465$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 50c | 430.39$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 422.74$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 282.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 222.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 198.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 52c | 150.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 49c | 138$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 122.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 113.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 52c | 95.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 85.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 78.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 51c | 58.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 36c | 58.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 62c | 57.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 52.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Under | 51c | 48.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 33c | 47.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 49c | 43.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Over | 54c | 38.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 35.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 50c | 33.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 49c | 32.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 48c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Over | 52c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 25.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 48c | 24.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…1c36backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas AcesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.