WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844f19cebef7c5dbe81f539de4d8ff877645d38390f4053775e56a98c4f3d2ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 7,113$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.93 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 3,909$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.06 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 1,815$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.59 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.4 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 671.89$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 659.62$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 59c | 630.94$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 545.96$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Lynx | 77c | 290.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 67c | 235.92$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 225.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 222.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 204.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Las Vegas Aces | 20c | 193.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Las Vegas Aces | 22c | 192.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 154.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 146$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 120.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Las Vegas Aces | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 104.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Minnesota Lynx | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 77c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 60.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 55.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 64c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 35.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 33.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 33.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 32.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 38c | 31.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 29.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Minnesota Lynx | 61c | 24.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Minnesota Lynx | 77c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas AcesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.