WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec63010c4019742c2f30a002c564d17d678f5f4871c12f7c4560a4e3c20d09c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 47c | 8,279$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.05 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Under | 54c | 6,846$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.01 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 51c | 2,073$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.83 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 1,917$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 1,250$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.64 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 31c | 852.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 623.94$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.31 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 620.1$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.9 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 511.45$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.81 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 12c | 402.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 344.57$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 9c | 292.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 52c | 183.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 48c | 168$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 42c | 107.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 53c | 57.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 37c | 52.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 76c | 41.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 39.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…efacbacked Under | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 53c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 53c | 37.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 53c | 33.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 30.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Under | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 183.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas AcesMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.