Premier League · resolved market
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6397014fcf5d762c60bc5e51357e1a8398a65f6fbba150ad7c46a368ce252683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 43c | 1,920$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.83 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 44c | 933.07$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.67 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 46c | 567.73$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.22 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 57c | 543.86$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 56c | 444.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 54c | 415$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1139…7bf4backed Yes | 56c | 401.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 56c | 354.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…4cb8backed Yes | 55c | 197.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 56c | 178.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…a5b1backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 57c | 176.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Yes | 55c | 142.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…df78backed Yes | 55c | 137.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 32c | 129.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 56c | 125.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 55c | 113.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…8b84backed Yes | 76c | 111.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 45c | 105.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 220 | 40.5%89 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 56c | 89.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…e17ebacked Yes | 57c | 71.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Yes | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b0a8backed Yes | 56c | 53.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…6a12backed Yes | 55c | 36.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0902…f68cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…dbc4backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f433backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…c5cebacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 56c | 25.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 56c | 24.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Jeremy Doku: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.