CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46e2cc02cde2a5ff6221496e52f243ec6d415686d899866a760f8631d38e39c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Keydof Game Hunters, Keyd
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,493 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2924…0f31backed Game Hunters	21c	1,799$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.24	496	46.6%231 W · 265 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Game Hunters	29c	1,599$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.42	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Keyd	79c	1,521$1,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.54	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd	71c	1,324$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd	68c	1,086$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.35	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Game Hunters	27c	1,066$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.79	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-19.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Keyd	57c	1,047$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.56	219	41.1%90 W · 129 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Game Hunters	54c	899.74$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.23	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-7.9wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-33%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Game Hunters	44c	800.25$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.72	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd	50c	793.08$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.39	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Game Hunters	24c	782.89$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.61	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-17.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Keyd	67c	711.43$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.84	2,326	55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L	+44.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd	72c	678.68$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.62	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Keyd	74c	608.92$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.14	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Game Hunters	29c	578.68$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.15	780	43.7%341 W · 439 L	-21.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Game Hunters	39c	565.29$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.39	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Game Hunters	50c	550$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	172	40.1%69 W · 103 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Keyd	79c	542.77$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.04	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Game Hunters	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Keyd	48c	464.11$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.34	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Game Hunters	52c	355.52$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.87	157	32.5%51 W · 106 L	-11.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Game Hunters	21c	345.76$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.69	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Game Hunters	14c	336.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.91	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c83…8c5fbacked Game Hunters	9c	325.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.43	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Keyd	76c	315.95$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.93	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Keyd	48c	303.82$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.61	567	32.5%184 W · 383 L	-30.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Keyd	48c	303.27$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.7	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Game Hunters	45c	288.45$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.27	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Keyd	74c	275.65$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.37	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Keyd	80c	266.72$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.92	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Keyd	47c	204.76$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.92	361	51.8%187 W · 174 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Game Hunters	55c	199.86$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Game Hunters	26c	169.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	576	41.5%239 W · 337 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Game Hunters	27c	167.62$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.45	644	39.8%256 W · 388 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Game Hunters	20c	165.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.16	1,109	50.5%560 W · 549 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd	56c	158.6$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.97	559	50.3%281 W · 278 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Game Hunters	46c	150$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.55	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed Game Hunters	52c	134.21$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.79	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Game Hunters	51c	124.57$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.53	285	49.5%141 W · 144 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Game Hunters	26c	121.49$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Game Hunters	34c	121.26$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.23	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Game Hunters	30c	113.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.56	159	30.8%49 W · 110 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Game Hunters	56c	107.03$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.89	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	-7.1wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Game Hunters	29c	99.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Keyd	56c	98.38$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.67	230	72.6%167 W · 63 L	+27.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Game Hunters	20c	97.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Game Hunters	18c	96.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	364	34.1%124 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Game Hunters	53c	92.39$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	277	54.9%152 W · 125 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Keyd	49c	89.18$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.48	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f7…c16fbacked Keyd	48c	84.69$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.04	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Game Hunters	15c	72.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	399	46.4%185 W · 214 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Game Hunters	29c	71.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec6…e52cbacked Keyd	70c	70.55$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.46	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Keyd	77c	70.02$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	275	54.9%151 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Keyd	48c	67.82$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.26	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Keyd	57c	63.15$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.21	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Game Hunters	47c	52.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.53	762	48.4%369 W · 393 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd	43c	49.41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.16	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed Keyd	46c	48$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	334	51.5%172 W · 162 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…2d57backed Game Hunters	30c	47.94$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Game Hunters	53c	45.52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	1,078	32%345 W · 733 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Game Hunters	56c	43.8$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	544	39.7%216 W · 328 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Game Hunters	40c	42$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	363	34.2%124 W · 239 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Game Hunters	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	130	60%78 W · 52 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Keyd	50c	38.8$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	106	55.7%59 W · 47 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Game Hunters	40c	36.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	-33.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed Game Hunters	60c	35.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	240	51.7%124 W · 116 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0b…3c12backed Keyd	77c	32.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	74	59.5%44 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Keyd	49c	31.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	357	52.9%189 W · 168 L	+22.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Game Hunters	47c	30.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	286	60.1%172 W · 114 L	+17.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Keyd	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	328	45.1%148 W · 180 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Keyd	80c	29.94$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Game Hunters	54c	27.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	315	32.4%102 W · 213 L	-15.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed Game Hunters	52c	26.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	116	50%58 W · 58 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9458…c97fbacked Keyd	76c	25.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Keyd	51c	25.59$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	388	58.2%226 W · 162 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Keyd	50c	25.43$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	872	44.8%391 W · 481 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…6bcfbacked Keyd	80c	24.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	71cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Keyd	48c	23.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.24	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Keyd	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Keyd	80c	19.76$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.95	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb997…faacbacked Keyd	80c	15.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.05	205	53.2%109 W · 96 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event