CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59904453f5c89814d4d52766cc097c36daeab30d72e1ba266466e788db60221c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Game Hunters, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Game Hunters | 37c | 5,149$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.32 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Keyd | 56c | 1,826$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.46 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Keyd | 61c | 1,698$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.54 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keyd | 62c | 1,313$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Game Hunters | 33c | 1,041$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.26 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Game Hunters | 2c | 950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Game Hunters | 44c | 701.66$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.41 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Keyd | 79c | 627.48$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Game Hunters | 39c | 320.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Game Hunters | 33c | 315.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Keyd | 69c | 305.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.01 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked Game Hunters | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Keyd | 71c | 251.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Game Hunters | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Game Hunters | 49c | 176.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Keyd | 61c | 161.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Game Hunters | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Game Hunters | 37c | 131.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Game Hunters | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Game Hunters | 33c | 114.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Game Hunters | 40c | 101.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Game Hunters | 20c | 100.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Game Hunters | 31c | 94.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Game Hunters | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Game Hunters | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Game Hunters | 33c | 74.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Game Hunters | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Keyd | 74c | 66.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Game Hunters | 46c | 62.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Keyd | 54c | 56.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Keyd | 49c | 55.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Keyd | 63c | 55.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Keyd | 69c | 51.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Game Hunters | 39c | 48.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Game Hunters | 46c | 39.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Keyd | 66c | 39.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Keyd | 66c | 39.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Keyd | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5c…3ed5backed Keyd | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Game Hunters | 53c | 25.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.