CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277dd169aa8ec86a23f77aa615d4bbe3b5d9080a78533a701d43ffb6a1199d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Game Hunters, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Game Hunters | 32c | 1,460$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keyd | 68c | 1,269$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.92 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Keyd | 61c | 662.86$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Game Hunters | 27c | 640.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd | 74c | 395.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Game Hunters | 19c | 289.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Game Hunters | 12c | 267.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Game Hunters | 20c | 120.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Game Hunters | 51c | 96.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Game Hunters | 35c | 76.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Game Hunters | 21c | 74.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Game Hunters | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 46c | 39.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Game Hunters | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed Game Hunters | 56c | 34.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…7c38backed Game Hunters | 42c | 27.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Keyd | 73c | 20.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.