Euroleague · resolved market
Manresa vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ad72c40e49cc32fe3cab6c03571cdba3f18aef1f3ba6f36d18a1f093248e074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Manresa, Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manresa | 34c | 2,953$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.12 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…469fbacked Saski Baskonia | 71c | 1,613$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Saski Baskonia | 62c | 1,595$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.22 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Manresa | 30c | 1,196$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.73 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Manresa | 31c | 965.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 842.53$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Manresa | 34c | 812.35$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Saski Baskonia | 69c | 792.74$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Saski Baskonia | 69c | 783.64$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 689.68$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Manresa | 52c | 626.91$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Manresa | 33c | 444.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Manresa | 29c | 428.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Saski Baskonia | 62c | 393.97$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Saski Baskonia | 56c | 367.31$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 349.62$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 34c | 317.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.14 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saski Baskonia | 72c | 248.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 72c | 227.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Saski Baskonia | 15c | 220$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Manresa | 33c | 218.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Manresa | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Manresa | 47c | 198.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Saski Baskonia | 49c | 185.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Manresa | 24c | 180.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Saski Baskonia | 15c | 180$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Saski Baskonia | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Saski Baskonia | 66c | 148.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 141.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Manresa | 34c | 141.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Manresa | 49c | 133.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Manresa | 31c | 119.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Saski Baskonia | 71c | 111.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Manresa | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Manresa | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9485…e611backed Manresa | 44c | 99.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Manresa | 35c | 89.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Saski Baskonia | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Manresa | 32c | 77.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Manresa | 44c | 72.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Manresa | 43c | 71.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Manresa | 41c | 71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Saski Baskonia | 31c | 67.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Manresa | 43c | 54.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Saski Baskonia | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Manresa | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…053bbacked Saski Baskonia | 68c | 47.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Saski Baskonia | 65c | 35.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Saski Baskonia | 56c | 34.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Saski Baskonia | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Saski Baskonia | 56c | 29.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Saski Baskonia | 69c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Manresa | 47c | 28.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Saski Baskonia | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…9d7cbacked Saski Baskonia | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Saski Baskonia | 63c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Saski Baskonia | 73c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.