MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54632b36031d8996e1fdb716406cb4e5c7acb906612a50cef2a96d9561805a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 18c | 3,459$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.54 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Under | 77c | 1,989$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 41c | 1,917$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.75 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 914.55$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 714.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 59c | 705$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 19c | 518.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 35c | 457.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 56c | 155.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 96.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 54.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 53.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 29c | 52.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 63c | 49.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 41.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…8c35backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 56c | 32.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 62c | 30.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…daabbacked Over | 38c | 30.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 72c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.