MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaffa4a0aa544de27524ca07fe735571d1349ae40e74f3beadb77fb1835a347d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 846.5$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.41 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 289.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Over | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Over | 35c | 235$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 56c | 214.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Under | 47c | 214.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 54c | 207.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 171.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 169.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 122$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 118.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 50c | 113.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 110.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 56c | 97.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 63c | 86.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Under | 60c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 46c | 64.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 50c | 51.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 50c | 51.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 57c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 30.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 43c | 26.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 53c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 60c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.