MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc157d19780df3d8f9c2298317e383b9ab0e6d7821648a39a754ee12622dfab7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Chicago White Sox, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 3,490$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.37 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 26c | 3,296$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.75 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 804$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.06 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 587.5$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 153.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 139.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chicago White Sox | 14c | 126.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 94.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago White Sox | 13c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 72.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 51.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 47.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 46.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 40.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 36.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 28.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.