TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes51c54,482$27,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,785.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No49c27,022$13,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,781.172650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No49c8,725$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed No49c7,490$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.951631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.931752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes19c2,305$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.443528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No26c1,899$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.7739567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c1,842$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.653,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No49c1,640$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.431275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c1,433$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.0871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No49c1,231$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.618774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,145$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed No14c1,110$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.582552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c1,067$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.9248344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d7…e99cbacked Yes23c1,021$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes13c1,011$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.66222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No49c969.4$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.398547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes52c940.82$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No80c829.75$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.711,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No30c815.19$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9218967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes38c778.56$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.958043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c775.63$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c618.62$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.961,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No68c597.53$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes77c512.46$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7826346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes31c488.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.42540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes52c485.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5110243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No32c483.69$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9115676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c458.19$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3911…a829backed Yes52c427.7$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes66c387.5$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.037364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked No32c354.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Yes27c354.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No49c293.87$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c274.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes61c266.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No74c254.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1392346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No32c247.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1420535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes53c220.92$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.63844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No49c210.7$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.463658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c180.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c173.12$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes57c171.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.421010%1 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.43per pick53cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No76c163.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4210249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes56c156.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.623432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No48c149.71$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.854247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes68c148.3$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.562556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No34c141.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.223141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c128.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes51c127.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.256248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes52c126.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes79c125.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No48c113.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9120249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161f…86cebacked Yes47c102.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No49c101.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7930444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes22c99.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4410757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes55c93.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5826150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No39c89.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6836051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes68c87.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0823548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No60c78.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1916853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes67c73.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.016254.8%34 W · 28 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No49c71.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.329452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes17c69.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7124920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No31c69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9413464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.361,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No50c63.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1919255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No48c59.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7315458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No49c53.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.316443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No38c50.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.156563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No78c49.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8144447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes75c44.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.279555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No39c43.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed No46c42.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.052850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae74…e429backed No46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b74…b8abbacked Yes52c41.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked No49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.18955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f46…98fcbacked Yes77c38.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.591136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec17…c2dcbacked Yes80c37.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1322946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No48c29.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3724859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes52c28.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes51c27.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No48c23.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.193375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No70c22.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.717753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes52c20.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5813942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed No79c20.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Yes79c19.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.872050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes70c16.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.817974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes69c15.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.653479.4%27 W · 7 L+9.3wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+81.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x70ff…d70dbacked Yes72c15.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.