Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfecf3275731fb2f55eebc3b25898ce716f412a82953d4293ab21927ed5d74fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 53c | 771.76$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.03 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 47c | 726.4$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.51 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 7c | 570.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 423.25$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 311.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 310.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 54c | 298.4$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 279$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 35c | 248.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 56c | 197.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes | 40c | 172.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 43c | 167.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 44c | 124.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 54c | 121.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Yes | 41c | 118.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 112.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 63.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…0cf7backed Yes | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 73c | 59.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 40c | 49.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 65c | 49.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed No | 55c | 44.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 42.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 41.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 61c | 33.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 41c | 33.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 57c | 30.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 28.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 60c | 24.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…d70dbacked Yes | 73c | 22.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 21.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 50c | 20.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 58c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 58c | 18.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 17.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.