Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eed4a2b803fd759fb47b1de60f487fcc702a67dbbc7d909a49b05d2c612a517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf984…5098backed Yes | 5c | 1,967$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 74c | 1,923$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 26c | 1,838$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 73c | 1,393$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.12 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 1,267$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.86 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 21c | 423$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 415.1$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 161.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 116.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…dee3backed Yes | 26c | 114.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 79.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 71.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 77c | 49.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 26c | 44.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 21.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.