Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1783d42d500d0c643c53778aa9802d4475638ae0f950e31c2a5aad8051649c27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 2,288$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 78c | 2,188$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 41c | 1,310$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.57 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 15c | 766.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 58c | 603.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 8c | 590.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 540.9$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 533.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 496$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 395.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 16c | 299.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 12c | 263.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 24c | 242.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 13c | 216.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 197.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…469fbacked No | 78c | 196.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 55c | 178.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 60c | 163.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 142.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 26c | 124.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed Yes | 26c | 111.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 110.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 31c | 93.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 87.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 82.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 75.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 36c | 64.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed No | 53c | 63.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 59.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 77c | 55.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 74c | 53.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 46.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 35c | 40.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…e9f6backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed No | 52c | 20.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 62c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-23?this page
- Will Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.