Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fd0b72b7b0e8e266ba688f7cefea149540221401f0e4fa96afb0ee96a37147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 2,269$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 44c | 1,428$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 45c | 1,362$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.01 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 1,120$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.36 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 44c | 675$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 572.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 45c | 569.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 478.72$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 316$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 309.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 44c | 289.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 32c | 287.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 70c | 281.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 276.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 272.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 58c | 271.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 56c | 270.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Yes | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 35c | 178.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 50c | 124.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 23c | 117.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 116.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 74c | 109.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 57c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 53c | 95.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 41c | 92.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 31c | 86.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 80.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 42c | 77.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 70c | 72.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 69c | 70.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 78c | 63.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 55c | 58.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 47c | 50.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 33c | 33.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 31.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 27.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed Yes | 69c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 75c | 19.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 72c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will FC Alverca vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.