South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c15f174980eaa25c2fdd9d06eba85c3b7f508a3b29b8dfce2761aa4c7d7310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 772.16$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 698.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 22c | 329.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 72c | 294.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 275$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 241.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 80c | 232.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed No | 79c | 188.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 75c | 169.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 24c | 152.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 121.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 106.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 91.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 90.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 36c | 89.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 69c | 72.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 62.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 26c | 58.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 48.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 31c | 46.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 24c | 43.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 72c | 42.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…4d20backed Yes | 28c | 40.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 33.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 29.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 27.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 74c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 18.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 76c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed No | 77c | 16.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.