South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34857d922a7aeb0a0890c093486b09077e7b3051afdda753694d4b53b459cfa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 57c | 3,025$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.45 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,346$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 994.54$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.65 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 6c | 813.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 41c | 599.96$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 540.71$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 527.4$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 43c | 439.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 32c | 424.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.15 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 338.21$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 41c | 299$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 298.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 36c | 204.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 14c | 200.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 28c | 195.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 43c | 195$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 36c | 194.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 31c | 164.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 37c | 159.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 46c | 159.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 52c | 134.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 39c | 130.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 126.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 46c | 120.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 35c | 106.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 52c | 100.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 96.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 96.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 90.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 43c | 85.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 47c | 83.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fa8ebacked Yes | 51c | 81.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 37c | 81.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 46c | 73.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 60c | 59.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 48c | 55.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 52.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 68c | 51.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 51c | 40.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 51c | 40.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 49c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 37c | 39.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 38.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…8803backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 41c | 34.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 53c | 30.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 24.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 78c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.