Euroleague · resolved market
Shanxi Loongs vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48a32d7eda5da3b0fe67ca5ddfbaf0d508c78afa13ef6cd4dbb3dea36434eb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanxi Loongsof Shanxi Loongs, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 8c | 4,043$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.51 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 3,675$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 1,278$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 979.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shanxi Loongs | 77c | 633.42$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 31c | 602.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 448.62$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 4c | 388.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1766…fb87backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e74…f274backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 285.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 248$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Shanxi Loongs | 80c | 247.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…6787backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 199.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 166.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 165.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 149.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…e639backed Shanxi Loongs | 74c | 139.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Shanxi Loongs | 78c | 132.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Shanxi Loongs | 70c | 121.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 104.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 104.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 103$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 92.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 77.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…016abacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 73.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +34%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 71.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 70.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shanxi Loongs | 76c | 68.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 64.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…be50backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 29c | 52.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Shanxi Loongs | 78c | 48.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shanxi Loongs | 80c | 40.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…fb63backed Shanxi Loongs | 80c | 26.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…1db1backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 22.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…ac07backed Shanxi Loongs | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.