Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde2fce0afa580b98aae8fff508d4cefad94c70e55ae33614635b0d6e02c5616d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d8…b6a8backed Yes | 9c | 783.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 13c | 545.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 14c | 513.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d74…6bcbbacked Yes | 3c | 416.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 75c | 399.58$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Yes | 38c | 394.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…f1f5backed Yes | 17c | 361.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 12c | 343.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed Yes | 8c | 340.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 25c | 336.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 15c | 289.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 76c | 266.73$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 28c | 249.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…7e90backed Yes | 6c | 227.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 13c | 210.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Yes | 13c | 199.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 13c | 196.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 75c | 191.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa61…97dabacked Yes | 8c | 185.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 18c | 176.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked Yes | 11c | 147.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 138.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 80c | 124.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 10c | 124.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 119.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 20c | 116.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 264 | 42.4%112 W · 152 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 13c | 113.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…3ce0backed Yes | 27c | 109.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 70c | 108.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 257 | 84.4%217 W · 40 L | +30.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 105.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…d959backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 99.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 18c | 96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 12c | 91.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…a612backed Yes | 23c | 90.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 20c | 90.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 75c | 90.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 37c | 81.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 22c | 79.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 20c | 70.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 26c | 63.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 25c | 63.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 60.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…64d2backed Yes | 25c | 59.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 56.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90b…da7cbacked Yes | 22c | 50.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…9548backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…8223backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 72c | 49.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 71c | 46.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 25c | 45.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Yes | 28c | 45.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 25c | 42.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 38.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 78c | 37.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…4c1bbacked No | 69c | 37.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd6…7453backed No | 73c | 34.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…437ebacked No | 70c | 34.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed Yes | 30c | 32.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 75c | 28.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 45c | 25.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…022dbacked No | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…fcaebacked No | 73c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…0e9dbacked No | 74c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd415…44f6backed No | 73c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 70c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.