Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f54acf1c122d7d790592436d7efdf696419a3f7c607f57b14aa3387ffe7e669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 13,099$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…413bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,600$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 5c | 2,771$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 5c | 1,747$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…64d4backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0a6abacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…ad83backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…f702backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 3c | 470$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b60…4e26backed Yes | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…6359backed Yes | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 4c | 310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…4f38backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762c…9f9fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…cfe0backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 4c | 248.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 6c | 246.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8719…ce4fbacked Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…92d5backed Yes | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a2…b9a3backed Yes | 5c | 205.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…1cd2backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…82a1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f61…30debacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…0666backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…ad65backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…f9c6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…f194backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…ee0cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2969backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…3886backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…1f14backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.