Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fb6de729a539dc50a139f1d063d2be8cbf783e8b45b50d76cff3ae7393c2896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 10c | 10,955$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.21 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 9c | 6,622$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.4 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,985$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.61 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 11c | 4,647$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.18 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,646$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.61 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,850$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 7c | 2,778$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 11c | 1,208$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 18c | 1,129$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 15c | 640.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 6c | 578.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Yes | 2c | 557.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…8742backed Yes | 11c | 466.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 13c | 343.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 10c | 304.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…342abacked Yes | 11c | 278.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…02dabacked Yes | 11c | 178.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 21.7%41 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…18cabacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…c908backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a4…77f0backed Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…ef1bbacked Yes | 11c | 108.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…8b86backed Yes | 12c | 102.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b97…76adbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…4f5bbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…7ccdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.