Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7a64a4f76a6f4ca421ef6bf1c61400a0e44a280dd4ff8278a1fbee16bb521a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 2c | 56,789$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 22,722$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.95 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 1c | 6,925$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…f522backed Yes | 2c | 6,434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 1c | 5,981$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,807$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 2c | 3,297$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 2c | 3,043$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 2c | 2,898$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,993$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…9c3abacked Yes | 2c | 1,875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b4…8467backed Yes | 1c | 1,619$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…fc85backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 1c | 1,244$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 2c | 1,202$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,118$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c3…814bbacked Yes | 1c | 857.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…2e03backed Yes | 2c | 843.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 2c | 790.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…1f14backed Yes | 1c | 710.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 2c | 677.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked Yes | 2c | 439.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.