Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b4e2a4badc624a71217e0ecfa24a3be487717b58883137079578b7978a307a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 72,342$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 3c | 43,507$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.03 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 20,469$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6042…413bbacked Yes | 3c | 16,209$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,947$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,612$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 3c | 3,598$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 3c | 3,355$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 3c | 3,244$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,970$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…4245backed Yes | 3c | 2,969$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 3c | 2,943$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,050$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 3c | 1,979$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,954$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,688$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…d564backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes | 3c | 1,574$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 3c | 1,551$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,378$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,241$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 3c | 1,134$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 3c | 1,115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 3c | 1,105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2419backed Yes | 3c | 1,104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ae2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…3d60backed Yes | 2c | 999.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 3c | 980$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 3c | 909.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…02cebacked Yes | 2c | 883.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +262.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…4357backed Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 3c | 806.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…d232backed Yes | 3c | 806.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 13.8%22 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 3c | 791.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 2c | 788.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 3c | 781.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 3c | 778.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 3c | 703.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…81a8backed Yes | 2c | 651.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Yes | 3c | 611.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Yes | 2c | 584.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 3c | 583.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes | 3c | 583.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 89 | 6.7%6 W · 83 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked Yes | 3c | 570$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…eff3backed Yes | 3c | 560.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…7f5dbacked Yes | 3c | 540.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…1007backed Yes | 3c | 533.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 3c | 523.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…0657backed Yes | 3c | 523.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…92d5backed Yes | 3c | 520.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…71f4backed Yes | 3c | 517.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d204backed Yes | 3c | 516.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 3c | 499.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 483.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…55f4backed Yes | 3c | 481.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 3c | 460.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…0c42backed Yes | 2c | 458.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 3c | 384$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…ae08backed Yes | 3c | 369.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe67d…8180backed Yes | 3c | 354.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 345.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Ghana?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Ghana?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.