CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4bd4236601e2c9f4b19aa996b28f315750a09c353f770c678faee4b2575fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,312 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 48c | 1,194$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.29 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Under | 59c | 1,038$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.28 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…2600backed Over | 31c | 900$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…ce61backed Over | 52c | 774$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.27 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…9018backed Under | 9c | 594.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 43c | 452.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.76 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Under | 57c | 324.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87d…c778backed Over | 45c | 304$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…3c83backed Over | 45c | 302$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3a68backed Over | 45c | 302$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 267.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…7398backed Under | 55c | 246.79$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…08b9backed Under | 55c | 232$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…31eebacked Over | 45c | 226$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 52c | 204.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…b2c2backed Under | 55c | 196$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…8726backed Under | 55c | 192$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…5e54backed Under | 55c | 141.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 61c | 134.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…cb4dbacked Under | 55c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 107.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 44c | 104.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 31c | 90.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 49c | 80.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Over | 49c | 80.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 17c | 75.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 49c | 63.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 39c | 59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Over | 36c | 54.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 31c | 46.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 43c | 39.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 40c | 32.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…9f85backed Under | 61c | 28.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b65…2cf8backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…9452backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…8989backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.