CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x503328000419e90b1159fe05f6b64efd5d076641c8f9eafe0ea5393a4d87539a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of FUT Esports, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,791 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ad…f14fbacked FUT Esports | 14c | 405$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…14d1backed FUT Esports | 14c | 382$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked FUT Esports | 25c | 159.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed FUT Esports | 24c | 155.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 | 79c | 148.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…5fbbbacked FUT Esports | 14c | 147$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…0fcdbacked FUT Esports | 14c | 135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked G2 | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed G2 | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…b981backed FUT Esports | 14c | 116$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9a…19a4backed FUT Esports | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…9d7bbacked FUT Esports | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…9291backed FUT Esports | 15c | 108$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c4…5cd3backed FUT Esports | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33c…f93fbacked FUT Esports | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.