TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Islanders, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders2c5,019$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Islanders9c3,815$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Islanders30c2,874$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.783033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Islanders33c2,170$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.989459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Islanders3c2,015$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Hurricanes69c1,525$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Islanders31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.97549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Hurricanes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e1…c6e2backed Hurricanes69c1,414$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Islanders31c1,340$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders1c1,311$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Islanders30c1,272$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb2…6accbacked Hurricanes67c1,166$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d8…eaf1backed Islanders33c1,166$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a34…9ae5backed Islanders34c1,107$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d0f…118fbacked Hurricanes66c1,100$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders31c899.92$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.981,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Islanders31c897.22$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Islanders2c777.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.28137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c9…9eb3backed Islanders32c560$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Hurricanes68c541.04$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.131978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae31…d0e4backed Islanders32c541.04$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders32c535.58$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.381,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Hurricanes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders7c480.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Islanders33c457.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hurricanes73c409.59$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5923761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Hurricanes70c314.29$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.294158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Islanders7c307.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5313241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Hurricanes70c307.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1413562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.081,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Hurricanes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf488…6f2bbacked Hurricanes68c285$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15af…e753backed Hurricanes68c275$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Hurricanes67c274.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6322246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…f4a7backed Hurricanes67c226.25$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hurricanes68c204.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Hurricanes69c200$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Hurricanes70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Hurricanes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b5…9628backed Hurricanes76c145.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3154…3a8ebacked Islanders32c124.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Hurricanes69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.949260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…3ec5backed Islanders33c109.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Hurricanes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Hurricanes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8167…3051backed Hurricanes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d44…73b5backed Hurricanes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Hurricanes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3237254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Hurricanes69c99.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Hurricanes69c98.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.672365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…eafcbacked Islanders32c96.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4b…f4d8backed Hurricanes69c96.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f9…25ccbacked Hurricanes69c91.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2689…0e09backed Islanders33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Hurricanes68c89.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.473157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ad…ba14backed Hurricanes69c89.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e49…c523backed Islanders33c89.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Islanders31c87.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1329847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3390…a7eebacked Hurricanes69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb794…3befbacked Islanders33c85.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Hurricanes70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.714042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c5f…6cb7backed Islanders34c84.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Hurricanes68c82.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4130155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Islanders32c81.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.37338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…947bbacked Hurricanes72c80.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.861850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4c…b823backed Hurricanes68c78.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e16…ce1ebacked Islanders32c78.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Hurricanes66c74.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1711445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes69c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6324457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Islanders34c72.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.637650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Hurricanes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Hurricanes71c70.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.773066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…90ccbacked Islanders31c67.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0180%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe70b…aaccbacked Hurricanes67c67.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29dd…6db4backed Islanders34c67.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…c119backed Hurricanes69c65.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.225100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad19…2522backed Islanders32c63.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Hurricanes67c60.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0919347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0686…dbfabacked Hurricanes68c60.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8e…aaf5backed Hurricanes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Hurricanes68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.827950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe354…caa3backed Hurricanes69c58.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf967…e917backed Hurricanes69c58.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b31…e8ebbacked Hurricanes73c58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Hurricanes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9724347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…9367backed Hurricanes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.143860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ef…55d4backed Islanders30c55.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df0…36dbbacked Islanders32c55.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6faa…5a5bbacked Hurricanes69c55.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.071070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe66…429dbacked Islanders32c53.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hurricanes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1819150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf05…aa64backed Hurricanes68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Hurricanes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb625…df44backed Hurricanes68c49.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.