TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild28c11,504$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,231.7792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Utah61c7,828$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.165743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Utah65c5,011$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.476657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4741…6cf0backed Wild54c4,658$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Utah49c4,239$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Wild52c2,968$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.44139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Wild53c2,742$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.185843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Utah46c2,643$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9747…2823backed Utah58c2,037$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Wild51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98031849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Utah51c1,928$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.343842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Wild31c1,879$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.179747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wild57c1,167$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4623761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Wild45c929.46$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Utah51c906.55$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.476137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Utah64c791.44$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.015149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Utah68c733.16$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Wild32c698.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.511952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed Utah63c634.72$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.742642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Wild53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.042665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Wild27c546.24$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3120540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf51…2037backed Wild50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah47c499.97$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Wild36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2562630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Utah48c397.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5223144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Utah48c393.76$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5511445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Wild25c346.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8730155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Wild37c319.59$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.448451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Utah47c302$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.949153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Wild53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Utah49c289.78$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.99825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Wild52c278.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.859861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wild49c251.95$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Wild51c217.86$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.756437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild49c205.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.041,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Utah49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Wild50c201.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.961450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Wild54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Wild48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Wild50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild51c190.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild47c177.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.061,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea0…0467backed Utah53c176.25$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.412642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Utah47c175.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.634645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Wild37c154.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Wild53c151.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2372448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd732…e712backed Wild13c140.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Wild34c138.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.027338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Wild53c137$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9409…48b4backed Wild14c135.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+199.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Wild18c132.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.435160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Wild53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e09…fc91backed Wild38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.583756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild25c130$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a2…9a47backed Wild35c129.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.252035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Wild79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8f…204cbacked Wild11c121.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7568…ae60backed Wild19c106.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Utah48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b8…da98backed Utah70c101.14$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.22450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Wild53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4773157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b3…bf06backed Wild50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…90d7backed Wild80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Wild36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0413953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Utah51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5150049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Utah47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d1…fb67backed Utah14c97.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea8…400fbacked Utah14c88.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46a9…90ffbacked Utah18c88.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecf5…bbd6backed Wild57c87.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf63…25d1backed Utah52c80.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8fbcbacked Utah53c78.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ab…812fbacked Wild48c72.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.91666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed Utah23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe78d…b76abacked Wild48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe177…26cebacked Utah48c62.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc520…e89ebacked Wild54c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c44…2f92backed Utah49c61.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25fd…f626backed Wild48c60.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Utah42c57.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.337444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617e…aca3backed Utah52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c44…fd3bbacked Utah48c55.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Wild40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Wild70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd16…201bbacked Wild48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce25…5485backed Utah52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd39a…4b40backed Utah52c48.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b72…d5e3backed Utah48c46.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb79c…c1a6backed Wild52c46.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ca…6810backed Wild48c45.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Wild26c45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2113846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x229b…0899backed Utah50c44.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5708…4c79backed Wild50c44.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cbe…691dbacked Utah51c44.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5740%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ab7…56bcbacked Wild49c44.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe640…c7bcbacked Utah51c43.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc237…3ebabacked Wild49c43.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.35955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.