TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Martin Dammof Cristian Garin, Martin Damm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Martin Damm23c20,708$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,897.797,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cristian Garin58c13,848$7,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,973.5811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Martin Damm26c7,963$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.962,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Cristian Garin57c7,234$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,154.166,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Martin Damm39c5,976$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.361,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cristian Garin67c5,774$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,868.144,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc20…6ee1backed Martin Damm52c5,397$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.7988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Cristian Garin57c5,393$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.684,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Martin Damm48c5,310$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.5358639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Martin Damm51c4,615$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.8313631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cristian Garin27c4,388$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.766,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Cristian Garin70c3,650$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.2633556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cristian Garin73c3,575$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.6344754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Cristian Garin64c3,046$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.812114.3%3 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-77.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Cristian Garin2c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45280%0 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Cristian Garin1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257828.2%22 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Cristian Garin63c2,344$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.5382560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cristian Garin54c2,305$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.841,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Martin Damm42c2,274$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.1471729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Cristian Garin1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30270%0 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Cristian Garin1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Cristian Garin1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30260%0 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Martin Damm32c2,077$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.5421537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Martin Damm30c2,001$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.6858734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Martin Damm34c2,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31024643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Cristian Garin71c1,806$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.2924558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Martin Damm28c1,713$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.6129952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Martin Damm9c1,681$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.459737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Martin Damm21c1,643$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.782,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Cristian Garin70c1,623$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.615862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Cristian Garin2c1,530$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Martin Damm65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1516242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Cristian Garin69c1,408$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.5446473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cristian Garin69c1,376$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.383,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Martin Damm29c1,362$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.3358232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Martin Damm31c1,296$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.227733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Martin Damm30c1,271$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.622,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Cristian Garin1c1,237$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87450%0 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Martin Damm42c1,150$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.9262545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Martin Damm52c1,136$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.044,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Martin Damm29c1,136$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.3827231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Martin Damm30c1,091$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.4129241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Martin Damm32c1,042$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.671,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Martin Damm30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70032247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Cristian Garin1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ffb…b2f8backed Martin Damm30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Cristian Garin70c998.18$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Martin Damm13c966.76$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.081,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Martin Damm39c937.38$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.671,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Martin Damm56c933.46$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.111,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Martin Damm36c917.29$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.061,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Cristian Garin78c887.53$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.161,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Martin Damm13c883.84$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.960355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3e…a5b5backed Cristian Garin70c883.34$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6f…a65fbacked Cristian Garin71c825.94$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.76457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0179…adcdbacked Cristian Garin65c825.39$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.58562.4%53 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Martin Damm31c766.18$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.4932763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Martin Damm43c744.56$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.932,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Martin Damm29c701.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4738013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Cristian Garin62c699.99$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.9926045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Martin Damm29c650.25$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Cristian Garin70c638.3$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8189850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Martin Damm30c632.06$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.8625342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Cristian Garin65c629.43$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.122,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Cristian Garin69c624.31$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7752341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Martin Damm31c618.45$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7319657.1%112 W · 84 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Cristian Garin70c594.44$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1480153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Martin Damm21c538.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42348214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Cristian Garin56c520.38$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3865652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdf…7c07backed Cristian Garin69c498.88$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.232850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e8…dc9abacked Martin Damm65c497.35$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.074353.5%23 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Cristian Garin70c491$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.76454.7%35 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Cristian Garin70c491$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.710641.5%44 W · 62 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Martin Damm31c469.07$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3110742.1%45 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Cristian Garin69c434.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.992,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Martin Damm32c433.02$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.932,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Cristian Garin66c421.32$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5152155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Martin Damm36c412.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5842332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Martin Damm36c411.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.362,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Cristian Garin24c405.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Martin Damm38c405.39$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3412030%36 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Cristian Garin80c400.98$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2512756.7%72 W · 55 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Cristian Garin69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cristian Garin73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.759,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Cristian Garin61c395.2$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4795050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Martin Damm31c383.32$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4185250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ac…254ebacked Cristian Garin79c375.59$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.62650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Cristian Garin55c360.01$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0112235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cristian Garin9c360$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.44,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Martin Damm30c339.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9828038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Martin Damm29c333.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8226451.5%136 W · 128 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Martin Damm22c330.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.551,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Cristian Garin69c328.67$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8336944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Martin Damm28c323.49$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Martin Damm31c315.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6343647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Cristian Garin66c311.84$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.741850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Martin Damm31c309.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.649640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Martin Damm31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3713038.5%50 W · 80 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cristian Garin71c304.6$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.261,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cristian Garin48c297.64$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.44,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.