College Football · resolved market
The CFP Favorites Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb108d9af8ad1a88f562df6319399618eca485af2dd3ad385f11e1234a8a66fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 43c | 5,125$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 43c | 3,623$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.04 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,724$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 7c | 2,250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 60c | 2,073$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.18 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 16c | 883.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 72c | 713$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 58c | 462.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 54c | 451.13$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…1959backed Yes | 65c | 197.59$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 195.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 186.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…c70abacked No | 58c | 166$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934d…5f23backed Yes | 42c | 166$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed No | 63c | 158.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…33a8backed Yes | 42c | 155$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5382…bdbdbacked No | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Yes | 71c | 141.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…f38dbacked No | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd216…e33fbacked Yes | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…1400backed No | 58c | 133$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c277backed Yes | 42c | 133$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…c66ebacked No | 58c | 122$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…8dc8backed Yes | 42c | 122$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2e…1e4abacked Yes | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…1779backed No | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…e9b2backed Yes | 42c | 88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…7379backed Yes | 42c | 88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695e…f878backed No | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…4e32backed No | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 41c | 87.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 40c | 62.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Yes | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 41c | 52.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…a4e2backed Yes | 40c | 32.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Yes | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…fe4bbacked Yes | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.