NBA · resolved market
Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x856f77335dedb49d53954b9686ee09471388ce460a6ecc2a8dbb48978d6c876f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 41c | 5,100$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…ef3dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…10dfbacked Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,217$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 60c | 2,003$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.17 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 75c | 2,001$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 27c | 1,744$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.79 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 76c | 1,653$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.02 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…3456backed No | 58c | 1,260$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…fc63backed No | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…adf7backed No | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…7a8cbacked No | 58c | 1,240$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…2d53backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…3421backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…977abacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…7e06backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…37b3backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…a111backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…7afdbacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…3f92backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb7…7398backed Yes | 45c | 980$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…eaaabacked No | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaed…5fadbacked No | 55c | 980$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…ed79backed Yes | 45c | 980$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 55c | 969.61$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.02 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…8de3backed Yes | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…a27fbacked No | 45c | 910$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…b17abacked Yes | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…168cbacked No | 45c | 910$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…f082backed Yes | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…d2d9backed No | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…ae2bbacked No | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…831dbacked Yes | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…2cabbacked No | 56c | 890$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9890…4f01backed Yes | 44c | 890$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…edd0backed Yes | 44c | 890$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…c78cbacked No | 56c | 890$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 61c | 657.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed No | 70c | 590$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…0febbacked No | 37c | 580.09$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Yes | 49c | 547.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…5a95backed Yes | 37c | 509.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 50c | 499.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 56c | 494$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…02cfbacked Yes | 63c | 469.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…e8aabacked Yes | 63c | 452.77$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 36c | 422.1$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.14 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 358.61$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 57c | 295.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…5657backed No | 51c | 294.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 17c | 291.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +410.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 61c | 259.81$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 50c | 226$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 57c | 221.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 23c | 219.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 66c | 203.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Yes | 24c | 200.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 30c | 160.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 52c | 153.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 153.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 49c | 150.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…bbc3backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +75%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked Yes | 29c | 97.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 29c | 93.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 60c | 88.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…1ebdbacked Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…517dbacked No | 35c | 75.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 48c | 74.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…112ebacked No | 50c | 71.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 42c | 69.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf943…a83abacked No | 55c | 66.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…79a3backed Yes | 73c | 64.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 34c | 59.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…cababacked No | 51c | 58.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…6476backed No | 35c | 58.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…bf37backed Yes | 37c | 52.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 33c | 50.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 37c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 35c | 44.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f1…8c9cbacked Yes | 73c | 42.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…78babacked Yes | 50c | 35.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e6…12fbbacked Yes | 50c | 35.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…412abacked Yes | 63c | 34.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…61febacked No | 39c | 33.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…554cbacked No | 63c | 30.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe51d…da96backed Yes | 75c | 30.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…99b8backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 67c | 28.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…ecb4backed Yes | 63c | 24.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…ad0fbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jimmy Butler stay with the Miami Heat?this page
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Brooklyn Nets?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Dallas Mavericks?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Golden State Warriors?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Houston Rockets?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Los Angeles Clippers?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Memphis Grizzlies?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Orlando Magic?No won
- Will Jimmy Butler get traded to the Phoenix Suns?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.