Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936f0bb5fb3b42cf9f71fe348a82e61eafe453283bdf8a26fae76624861c6bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fec…2b67backed Yes | 13c | 33,494$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 27,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed Yes | 2c | 23,906$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.06 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 19c | 11,625$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.93 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 5c | 11,129$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.78 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 9c | 8,141$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.59 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 10c | 4,944$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 19c | 4,509$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.36 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…47e1backed Yes | 14c | 4,257$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 3c | 4,068$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 80c | 3,213$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.6 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 8c | 2,665$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 13c | 2,496$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,416$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…3683backed Yes | 16c | 2,060$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ac…c125backed Yes | 32c | 1,768$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,738$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…4beabacked Yes | 9c | 1,523$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…77babacked Yes | 2c | 1,215$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…2749backed Yes | 8c | 1,210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,181$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.95 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 1,166$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Yes | 13c | 1,117$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 3c | 1,092$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…0af5backed No | 80c | 1,085$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5d…0734backed Yes | 3c | 1,061$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…bdd3backed Yes | 15c | 1,008$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e7…4926backed Yes | 25c | 943.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 15c | 857$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 3c | 839.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 31c | 817.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Yes | 16c | 798$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 13c | 750$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 15c | 720.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…6232backed Yes | 16c | 687.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…0349backed Yes | 23c | 616.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 523.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Yes | 5c | 506.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…bdd4backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…6aadbacked Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…3b22backed Yes | 18c | 499.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed Yes | 15c | 456.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 15c | 438.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…ae0dbacked Yes | 16c | 433.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…58d6backed Yes | 16c | 426.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e9…51c3backed Yes | 22c | 406.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…3d1abacked Yes | 17c | 402.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…0166backed Yes | 28c | 376.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01b…e606backed Yes | 19c | 360$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…df8cbacked Yes | 18c | 338.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…423fbacked Yes | 10c | 309$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…dc26backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…704cbacked Yes | 16c | 245.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 16c | 227.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6784backed No | 78c | 224.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…115fbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…aad3backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…cdb6backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…7c06backed Yes | 8c | 192.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…d67abacked Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…d3b8backed Yes | 19c | 157.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 18c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…950cbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…0c88backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked No | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…ca91backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 19c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…0939backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 59.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…2150backed Yes | 43c | 58.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…ee69backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…b052backed Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…f530backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 80c | 13.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?this page
- Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 200 and 204 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 205 and 209 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 210 and 214 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?Yes won
- Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.