Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd794ba1b143440e0f09a9aee827f475a19c2ea1fa39c463dab38ca4a0c414d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a9c…3183backed Yes | 0c | 32,177$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1171backed Yes | 23c | 26,271$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…27c2backed Yes | 20c | 11,494$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked Yes | 13c | 8,356$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 5,890$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.02 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…e3b1backed Yes | 11c | 4,404$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…61e6backed Yes | 41c | 4,019$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.77 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 19c | 3,450$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.15 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…55b8backed Yes | 0c | 3,335$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…0166backed Yes | 2c | 3,294$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 3,201$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…f6bebacked Yes | 43c | 3,152$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e41…f050backed Yes | 15c | 3,146$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…33f6backed Yes | 13c | 3,121$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…2f42backed Yes | 17c | 3,031$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…7248backed Yes | 20c | 2,947$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…3d8abacked Yes | 10c | 2,619$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,841$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 18c | 1,795$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 12c | 1,648$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…e41ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,513$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 25c | 1,416$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed Yes | 22c | 1,344$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…1afcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,336$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…baf5backed No | 78c | 1,139$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 77c | 1,129$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…5fadbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…39b9backed No | 61c | 1,022$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 19c | 1,018$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…6edcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 72c | 1,000$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579c…d88dbacked Yes | 11c | 943.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 25c | 898.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 18c | 767.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 24c | 669.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…a6a2backed Yes | 18c | 638.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…c8cfbacked Yes | 34c | 629.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…c114backed Yes | 19c | 582.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4b…f229backed Yes | 33c | 526.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…6232backed Yes | 19c | 504.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…2ec9backed Yes | 8c | 499.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…624bbacked Yes | 21c | 478$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…6315backed Yes | 13c | 457.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 23c | 457$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 15c | 450$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 11c | 388.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +904%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…191fbacked Yes | 27c | 371.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ccb5backed Yes | 29c | 353.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 9c | 344.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed Yes | 7c | 344$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8ed5backed Yes | 16c | 319.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…5d1ebacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0db2backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…2084backed Yes | 25c | 278.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 10c | 260$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…49e6backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…5f72backed Yes | 21c | 243.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…ee4bbacked Yes | 24c | 212.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Yes | 14c | 202.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd80…a8edbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…aad3backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 21c | 189.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…5866backed Yes | 14c | 187.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…ec5fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…e343backed Yes | 15c | 167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2d07backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed Yes | 13c | 115.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…362fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…0a7bbacked Yes | 35c | 103.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked No | 75c | 100.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…4774backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…0c88backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…7ddebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…668ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…ca18backed Yes | 22c | 91.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…efd7backed Yes | 16c | 84.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…0a64backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ab…cf6bbacked Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…2d9cbacked Yes | 17c | 64.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…52d9backed No | 77c | 61.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Yes | 24c | 61.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?this page
- Will Republicans have between 200 and 204 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 205 and 209 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 210 and 214 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?Yes won
- Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?No won
- Will Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.