CS2 · resolved market
Will The MongolZ win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x687e5e46f227ea8ea27489e73561fa2dd2cf17d4955f80c921f4d476addef469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yes | 33c | 2,232$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.67 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,253$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 35c | 1,024$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.47 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 65c | 999.66$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.34 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…78ecbacked Yes | 38c | 969.6$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 67c | 671.75$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…274cbacked Yes | 32c | 605.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 67c | 527.46$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 68c | 436$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…efe6backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e18…82a0backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ec…dcfdbacked Yes | 38c | 266$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…850abacked No | 62c | 266$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…d052backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…1ca2backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 211.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 37c | 202.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 78c | 103.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a29…8864backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…f4ffbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…0a71backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 98.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…c745backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 33.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 36c | 28.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…3524backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The MongolZ win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?this page
- Will 9z win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?No won
- Will B8 win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?No won
- Will ENCE win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?Yes won
- Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.