CS2 · resolved market
Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0800a2359e72319963230933927de69591856d3ea51369c51dd45f08e945335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Yes | 31c | 3,217$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 69c | 2,448$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Yes | 28c | 1,458$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 23c | 1,000$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.01 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 69c | 919.35$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 44c | 743.25$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.14 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 18c | 722.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 44c | 544.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 32c | 497.71$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 468.72$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…ed91backed Yes | 33c | 396.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 62c | 352.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 66c | 267.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 249.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…b364backed Yes | 29c | 228.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 72c | 222$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Yes | 78c | 207.32$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 33c | 199.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…8022backed Yes | 47c | 174.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…11b3backed Yes | 39c | 136.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…ce9bbacked Yes | 31c | 129.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…4a1dbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…25b4backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…19c4backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Yes | 65c | 50.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…511abacked Yes | 29c | 46.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 69c | 42.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…64ebbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…5883backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…fa72backed Yes | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2e5dbacked No | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…29cbbacked Yes | 67c | 16.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?this page
- Will 9z win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?No won
- Will B8 win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?No won
- Will ENCE win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.