Cricket · resolved market
India vs. Australia – 5th Cricket Test Match
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9d8f14940b5a55b6484523cf9412df7de80224de78db1cef561b04215150cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Australiaof India, Australia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Australia | 55c | 970$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked India | 45c | 597.98$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed Australia | 62c | 255.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…27b4backed India | 40c | 205.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed India | 74c | 201.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Australia | 10c | 126.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +204.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…2118backed Australia | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Australia | 61c | 100.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed India | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…70febacked Australia | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed India | 39c | 87.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Australia | 59c | 71.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…a57bbacked India | 73c | 64.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…1ea2backed Australia | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…efdfbacked Australia | 72c | 45.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…bb7dbacked Australia | 75c | 36.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…73cbbacked Australia | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…57efbacked Australia | 56c | 27.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.