Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Ferencvaros?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fdc05c2a0f44e547c58ca0f08c14dd89b157549af53466fb3c9b7771093cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 66c | 7,156$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,467$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.19 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 28c | 1,531$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…dc76backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 37c | 484.35$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 27c | 444$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…03efbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 237.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…af2cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 53c | 209.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 58c | 207.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 58c | 202.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked No | 59c | 149.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…9347backed Yes | 42c | 119.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…1438backed Yes | 18c | 99.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked Yes | 37c | 66.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…685cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53a…d371backed Yes | 41c | 34.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa153…4e37backed Yes | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…a581backed Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…e04fbacked Yes | 41c | 29.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 56c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…14c8backed Yes | 41c | 24.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked No | 63c | 17.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Ferencvaros?this page
- Will Ferencvaros beat Dynamo Kyiv?Yes won
- Will the match between Dynamo Kyiv and Ferencvaros end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.