Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13cc34e5743753f74ef866df6ea71787298ba96e118cfaef7faf158d578cc91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 3c | 85,463$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.49 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…8a27backed Yes | 18c | 16,162$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.95 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 2c | 13,649$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 75c | 11,594$8,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.95 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 39c | 7,108$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.18 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 13c | 7,084$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.7 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…49bfbacked Yes | 16c | 4,929$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 31c | 4,489$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.38 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…b56dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,354$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 31c | 4,217$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.29 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 80c | 4,000$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 8c | 3,963$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 57c | 3,868$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.82 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 29c | 3,839$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.52 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76a…79acbacked Yes | 11c | 3,595$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 20c | 3,552$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.83 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…2e06backed Yes | 16c | 3,533$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…415fbacked No | 58c | 3,431$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +233.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 4c | 3,076$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 7cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,700$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 28c | 2,347$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 11c | 1,787$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 12c | 1,650$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 33c | 1,525$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,517$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed No | 61c | 1,497$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c0…e601backed Yes | 27c | 1,345$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 73c | 1,313$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.78 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…8e2fbacked No | 61c | 1,297$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 1c | 1,289$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…2bf7backed Yes | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed Yes | 17c | 1,194$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…d481backed Yes | 29c | 1,157$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,059$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…9d6abacked Yes | 13c | 1,040$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…55e3backed Yes | 40c | 1,002$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…da0ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 8c | 984.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 23c | 891.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 53c | 865.34$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 33c | 854$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…2660backed Yes | 74c | 826.8$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked No | 64c | 795.34$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 66c | 773.03$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.48 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 13c | 762$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.18 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 13c | 762$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.18 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 650.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 16c | 648.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 33c | 627.88$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 23c | 610$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4391…fe64backed Yes | 6c | 596.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 76c | 584.23$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 33c | 535.04$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.09 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked No | 65c | 532.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 5c | 518.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 20c | 502$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 53c | 493.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +106%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 20c | 492.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…5a1cbacked Yes | 10c | 462.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 18c | 461.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 7c | 420.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 31c | 404.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 401.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…c0d8backed Yes | 19c | 399.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…0647backed Yes | 13c | 389.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 26c | 375.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed No | 36c | 357.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.63 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked No | 54c | 350$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 29c | 341.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 72c | 321.2$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 7c | 315.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 298.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 79c | 284.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…a96dbacked Yes | 15c | 280$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 16c | 280$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked No | 67c | 275.68$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…f0c5backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 64c | 245.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…0c57backed No | 80c | 245$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…58dfbacked No | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e8…3c90backed No | 54c | 240$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…964ebacked No | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…44c2backed Yes | 6c | 230.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 215.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 11c | 212.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…f01dbacked No | 64c | 195.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…f622backed Yes | 11c | 182.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…7553backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…ea97backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 57c | 134.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…e564backed No | 75c | 132.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 53c | 131.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 19c | 131.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 34c | 128.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…4660backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.