Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc79e46a30d55ab78b15d42ef5e8fa9945e06cf77768a351fe585a947143e758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 1,324$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 1,232$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.93 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 69c | 248.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 79cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 78c | 182.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 21c | 181.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 22c | 177.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 78c | 173.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked No | 79c | 127.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 127.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…cc62backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will BSC Young Boys vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?No won
- Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.