NFL · resolved market
Cops who arrested Tyreek Hill fired?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x593680c970e7d8c93250de351bf6370004826a89428f9146a37566dec4ed4a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…772fbacked Yes | 7c | 13,574$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 6c | 5,542$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.78 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…c6a8backed Yes | 9c | 4,263$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…49e2backed Yes | 15c | 3,029$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,285$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…0f92backed Yes | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 11c | 1,718$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 5c | 1,517$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…950cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,406$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 80c | 1,258$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 1,236$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2a…6c50backed Yes | 10c | 1,225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…6b75backed Yes | 9c | 1,056$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e4…68a7backed Yes | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…40ecbacked Yes | 10c | 721.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Yes | 16c | 383.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…4d72backed Yes | 9c | 326.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 6c | 209.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 182.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 9c | 168.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 9c | 152.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4f…ff6ebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…4aecbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d333backed Yes | 12c | 138.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 12c | 115$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…bf0abacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…e072backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.